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Pre-emptive Pacificism: Obama’s Grand strategy to Surrender

Without question, the events going on in Iran are both horrifying and electrifying.  After 30 years, the theocratic regime in Iran seems to be losing its grip over the populace. The cost being paid for the transition is high – students shot dead in the streets, accounts of police throwing women and children off of bridges, and daily barrages of information detailing new acts of violence by the Iran regime against their people.

This is the regime who wants to obtain nuclear weapons. This is the regime that our President seems committed to legitimizing.

If the sin of the Bush Doctrine was threatening conflict before it was appropriate, the sin of the Obama Doctrine is ensuring US surrender before the first shot is even fired.

Consider for a moment this: The United States has stated it is committed to a policy of prohibiting the Iranians from having a nuclear weapons program. The United States has stated for some 30 years it wants to see regime change in Iran (although in the last six months, official policy seems to have changed considerably). The United States has ruled out the direct intervention into Iran to depose the regime. Absent changing the regime in Iran, there is no reason to believe it will be dissuaded in attempts to develop nuclear weapons. Presently, internal forces within Iran are weakening the regime’s grip and have focused international attention on the internal contradictions of Iran’s government and repression of the people. Given these facts, what is the appropriate course of action?

According to the President – go have ice cream with the kids.

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Cairo caused Iranian protests? Really? (I think not.)

I have noticed in life you often get what you pay for. For many years now, our family has received the Washington Post (Washington Compost as some call it) daily. I don’t pay for the daily edition. I only pay for the Sunday edition. From time to time the Washington Post people call up and complain I’m not paying for the daily, and offer me some kind of bargain. I always tell them I’m not interested in the daily version and they’re free to stop delivering it. I tell them I read things online. As sure as the sun shines, a newspaper gets thrown in my driveway… for free.

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Apparently I’m an idiot – so says the Left of those who criticize Obama’s Iran policy

Andrew Sullivan is hawking a nice piece today by another blogger (Matt Steinglass), essentially saying that neoconservatives are unintelligent morons.

Well – they may be… but the swipe is at the conservatives in general who are criticizing the President for how he is handling Iran, thus I feel compelled to respond.

Let me from the outset say that the “neoconservatism” of the Wolfowitz, Perle, Cheney, Rumsfeld, and Bush, period is not necessarily a reflection of the conservative movement. Just as leftist ideologies are “squishy” and anamorphous (for the wrong reasons – namely – obfuscation), the rubric of “conservatism” is not rigid or monolithic but is a large discipline of thinking held together by a core heuristic and set of principles. Historically, launching pre-emptive conflict is not a conservative thing, nor is getting involved in the affairs of other countries. However, when someone looking for a fight comes our way, conservatives believe that showing nothing but the full force and might available to us is the way to prevail. Conservatives don’t go looking for fights, but if one comes our way, we intent to stop at nothing to ensure victory. That was not the mantra of the last Administration, however, it is most consistent with conservatism generally.

The rise of neoconservatism was in response to the indecisiveness and multilateralism of Kennedy, Johnson, Carter (especially) and Clinton. Clinton perhaps sealed it for the class of neocons that came to government in 2000. There is really no other way to explain it. The same Secretary of Defense Cheney who in 1994 said “invading Iraq would be a Quagmire” was leading the charge in 2002 to end Saddam’s regime as Vice-President in 2000. What accounts for this change? A belief and a deep regret that “half-measures” in Iraq created instability and a regime capable of launching nuclear weapons at the US. Iraq was undoubtedly to be a warning to all rogue states that the US would not tolerate any more shenanigans from two-bit dictators who would threaten our interests. The neocons rejected multilateralism. They rejected attempting to use institutional arrangements to manage foreign affairs. Instead, bilateralism and direct intervention became their primary tools of foreign policy. I understand why they adopted those tactics, however, the brief history of neoconservatism being unsuccessfully employed in managing world affairs should have served as a warning.[1] It didn’t.

Thus comes the election in 2000 and neoconservatives populated the Bush Administration’s defense and intelligence arenas with the grand desire to “try out” their approach. Just as conservatives chastise the left for social experimentation, we should have chastised our brethren for engaging on a defense experiment. We did not, and we paid the price by losing the election in 2008. We also paid the price for the doctrine of “pre-emptive war.” The Doctrine made sense in a world where terrorists might nuke a US city with no warning, however, as applied, it was impossible to carry out effectively. The turn towards ideaslism, and away from the Reaganesque realism, got Bush into trouble. It got his father into trouble. It most assuredly got Clinton into trouble, who despite what we as conservatives may wish to believe, had a lot more in common with how neoconservatives conduct foreign policy than generally how liberals would have during that period.

So I agree the neoconservatives have their issues. Pre-emptive war was a disaster. That’s not anything novel. Reconciling the desire by the neocons to protect national security with conservatism’s realist/interest based foreign policy has been a debate for about 50 years. But that argument has nothing to do with the present construct and criticism of the President about his refusal to “step up the rhetoric” on Iran. Wanting the President to deal with Iran more forcefully is not a neoconservative issue – it’s a right and wrong issue. We either stand on the side of people who want liberty and freedom, or we don’t. Critics of neocons and conservatives are right on that issue – we do see the defense of freedom is dichotomous. However, that’s about as far as the argument goes.

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Al Qaida decides it’s not getting enough attention… threatens to nuke U.S.

If it were in a position to do so, Al Qaeda would use Pakistan’s nuclear weapons in its fight against the United States, a top leader of the group said in remarks aired on Sunday on Al Jazeera (al Qaeda News Network) Television.

Pakistan has been battling al Qaeda’s Taliban allies in the Swat Valley since April after their thrust into a district 100 km (60 miles) northwest of the capital raised fears the nuclear-armed country could slowly slip into militant hands. Pakistan has been slowly pushing the Taliban out of the Swat, however, fighting at times has been intense and the Taliban have occupied large areas of Pakistan. What complicates matters is that there is a faction of militants in Pakistan who are sympathetic to the Taliban and their aims. The concern of the United States remains ensuring Pakistan’s small but potent nuclear aresenal remains under the civilian control of the current Pakistani government.

“God willing, the nuclear weapons will not fall into the hands of the Americans and the mujahideen would take them and use them against the Americans,” Mustafa Abu al-Yazid, the leader of al Qaeda’s in Afghanistan, said in an interview with Al Jazeera television.

 Abu al-Yazid was responding to a question about U.S. safeguards to seize control over Pakistan’s nuclear weapons in case Islamist fighters came close to doing so. Abu al-Yazid is the operations chief for al Qaida in Afghanistan (the new “KSM” if you will).

 ”We expect that the Pakistani army would be defeated (in Swat) … and that would be its end everywhere, God willing.”

Asked about the group’s plans, the Egyptian militant leader said: “The strategy of the (al Qaeda) organisation in the coming period is the same as in the previous period: to hit the head of the snake, the head of tyranny — the United States.

“That can be achieved through continued work on the open fronts and also by opening new fronts in a manner that achieves the interests of Islam and Muslims and by increasing military operations that drain the enemy financially.”

… and now, back to our regular “overseas contingency operation” programming … already in progress.

Iran: Why Silence is not Golden…

It should be no shock to readers that I disagree with the approach the Obama Administration has taken towards Iran. I believe that the United States stands for certain principles,  the most important of which is freedom. The United States cannot remain silent when tyranny is afoot. Although incorrectly quoted, the sentiment is correct, “All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.” [1]  (Burke)This country needs to stand up to tyranny wherever it shows its head. The freedom of all people everywhere is a concern for America. That is why being silent on the brutality of the Iranian regime is a tragedy and a betrayal of this country’s founding principles.

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Pre-emptive Pacificism: Obama’s Grand strategy to Surrender

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If the sin of the Bush Doctrine was threatening conflict before it was appropriate, the sin of the Obama Doctrine is ensuring US surrender before the first shot is even fired.

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Recent Comments:

  • Editor: I've gotten a few emails and whatnot today about this piece - so I want to clarify. It is still VERY important that you make clear your disgust for...
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  • JulieLaughridge: The site looks great now, Bryan.. Very well put together! Looking forward to the drawing for the book because I'd LOVE to win it!...
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